IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Sacred Heart
Northeast
2019-20

Overall
Predictive Rating	-4.8	#249
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	77.7	#22
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	-0.6	#203

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	-4.2	#291

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	14.0%	25.5%	13.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	15.4	14.5	15.5

.500 or above	54.8%	84.4%	53.8%
.500 or above in Conference	72.2%	88.9%	71.6%
Conference Champion	17.2%	37.5%	16.5%
Last Place in Conference	3.9%	1.2%	4.0%

First Four	5.9%	4.1%	5.9%
First Round	11.5%	23.8%	11.1%
Second Round	0.4%	2.1%	0.3%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.3%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.2%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Providence (Away) - 3.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 1	0 - 1
Quad 1b	0 - 1	0 - 2
Quad 2	0 - 1	0 - 3
Quad 3	2 - 4	2 - 7
Quad 4	15 - 8	16 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 05, 2019	36	@ Providence	L	67-86	3%
Nov 08, 2019	73	@ Connecticut	L	73-88	8%
Nov 16, 2019	339	@ Binghamton	W	77-72	66%
Nov 19, 2019	171	Brown	L	80-81	46%
Nov 22, 2019	319	Presbyterian	W	81-76	68%
Nov 23, 2019	178	Albany	L	75-78	38%
Nov 24, 2019	256	@ Quinnipiac	L	77-80	41%
Dec 04, 2019	263	@ Umass Lowell	L	83-85	43%
Dec 08, 2019	321	@ Hartford	W	78-76	58%
Dec 15, 2019	94	@ Central Florida	L	67-79	14%
Dec 22, 2019	312	@ Holy Cross	W	72-71	54%
Dec 29, 2019	261	Lafayette	W	84-80	62%
Jan 02, 2020	304	Merrimack	W	80-74	71%
Jan 04, 2020	331	@ Wagner	W	72-69	62%
Jan 09, 2020	252	@ Fairleigh Dickinson	L	77-80	41%
Jan 15, 2020	342	Central Connecticut St.	W	85-73	84%
Jan 18, 2020	248	@ St. Francis (PA)	L	79-82	40%
Jan 20, 2020	273	@ Robert Morris	L	73-75	45%
Jan 23, 2020	342	@ Central Connecticut St.	W	82-76	68%
Jan 25, 2020	252	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	80-77	61%
Jan 30, 2020	287	Mount St. Mary's	W	79-74	67%
Feb 01, 2020	293	@ St. Francis Brooklyn	L	77-78	49%
Feb 06, 2020	248	St. Francis (PA)	W	82-79	59%
Feb 08, 2020	273	Robert Morris	W	76-72	64%
Feb 13, 2020	314	Bryant	W	83-76	72%
Feb 15, 2020	210	@ LIU Brooklyn	L	80-85	35%
Feb 21, 2020	304	@ Merrimack	W	78-77	51%
Feb 23, 2020	314	@ Bryant	W	80-79	54%
Feb 27, 2020	293	St. Francis Brooklyn	W	80-74	68%
Feb 29, 2020	210	LIU Brooklyn	W	83-82	54%
Projected Record						15 - 15	10 - 8

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Northeast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0		Total
1st												0.1	0.6	2.4	4.4	4.5	3.3	1.5	0.4		17.2	1st
2nd											0.1	1.1	3.7	5.2	3.0	1.0	0.1	0.0			14.3	2nd
3rd									0.0	0.1	1.1	4.3	4.7	2.1	0.4	0.0					12.7	3rd
4th									0.0	1.1	4.0	4.4	1.5	0.2							11.2	4th
5th								0.0	0.8	4.0	4.3	1.3	0.1	0.0							10.4	5th
6th							0.0	0.5	3.0	4.2	1.4	0.1									9.2	6th
7th						0.0	0.6	2.5	3.4	1.2	0.1										7.9	7th
8th					0.0	0.4	1.8	2.7	1.1	0.1											6.2	8th
9th				0.0	0.5	1.5	2.2	0.9	0.1												5.2	9th
10th			0.1	0.4	1.0	1.3	0.6	0.1	0.0												3.4	10th
11th	0.1	0.2	0.5	0.7	0.5	0.2	0.0														2.2	11th

Total	0.1	0.2	0.6	1.1	2.0	3.3	5.3	6.7	8.5	10.7	11.0	11.2	10.7	9.9	7.8	5.5	3.4	1.5	0.4			Total

Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0	100.0%	0.4		0.4
17-1	100.0%	1.5		1.5	0.0
16-2	97.1%	3.3		3.0	0.3	0.0
15-3	80.9%	4.5		3.2	1.1	0.1
14-4	56.5%	4.4		2.4	1.6	0.4	0.0
13-5	24.6%	2.4		0.8	1.0	0.5	0.1
12-6	5.8%	0.6		0.1	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0
11-7	0.9%	0.1			0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	17.2%	17.2		11.4	4.3	1.2	0.3	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
18-0	0.4%		49.8%	49.4%	0.3%	13.2							0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.2		0.7%
17-1	1.5%		53.7%	53.7%		14.1													0.0	0.1	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.7
16-2	3.4%		42.9%	42.9%		14.6													0.0	0.1	0.5	0.6	0.2	1.9
15-3	5.5%		37.6%	37.6%		15.1														0.1	0.4	0.9	0.8	3.4
14-4	7.8%		27.9%	27.9%		15.4														0.0	0.2	0.8	1.2	5.6
13-5	9.9%		22.0%	22.0%		15.7														0.0	0.1	0.5	1.6	7.7
12-6	10.7%		16.4%	16.4%		15.8															0.0	0.2	1.5	8.9
11-7	11.2%		12.1%	12.1%		15.9															0.0	0.1	1.3	9.9
10-8	11.0%		8.7%	8.7%		16.0																0.0	1.0	10.1
9-9	10.7%		5.7%	5.7%		16.0																0.0	0.6	10.1
8-10	8.5%		3.4%	3.4%		16.0																	0.3	8.2
7-11	6.7%		2.2%	2.2%		16.0																	0.1	6.5
6-12	5.3%		0.2%	0.2%		16.0																	0.0	5.3
5-13	3.3%																							3.3
4-14	2.0%																							2.0
3-15	1.1%																							1.1
2-16	0.6%																							0.6
1-17	0.2%																							0.2
0-18	0.1%																							0.1

Total	100%		14.0%	14.0%	0.0%	15.4							0.0		0.0		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.4	1.6	3.3	8.6	86.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.0%